What is the role of climate change as a conflict multiplier in Mali?

Flessa, Marc (2021) What is the role of climate change as a conflict multiplier in Mali? Bachelor thesis, Global Responsibility & Leadership (GRL).

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Abstract

Climate change (CC) has a wide range of impacts on human livelihoods. Especially within the realm of policy making, its security dimension has been highlighted. It has been argued that CC could lead to conflict by multiplying existing or creating new conflict risks. In general, both direct and indirect pathways link the impacts of CC and the outbreak, continuation and intensification of conflict. However, the scholarly support and empirical evidence is rather mixed. Also the current multidimensional conflict in Mali, has been linked to CC impacts. Employing a qualitative case study based on existing literature and qualitative questionnaires, this research paper analyses the role of CC as a conflict multiplier in Mali. Although the exact environmental impacts of CC are uncertain, it is likely to severely impact agricultural output and hence local livelihoods. In particular, CC impacts the migrating times and paths of nomadic pastoralists. In interaction with existing conflict factors like weak and partial governance, ethnicity and jihadist violence, CC multiplies existing land-use conflicts. Furthermore, CC complicates trans-regional water management, accelerates migration and directly negatively impacts military activities of (international) peacekeeping forces. However, also (failed) adaptation to CC can create negative side-effects, multiplying existing conflict risks. To address the conflict multiplying potential of CC in Mali, involved stakeholders should improve their cooperation and focus on local resilience building.

Item Type:	Thesis (Bachelor)
Name supervisor:	Berg, C.F. van den and Belloir, A.C.
Date Deposited:	16 Sep 2021 08:40
Last Modified:	16 Sep 2021 08:40
URI:	https://campus-fryslan.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/72

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